Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.086547 0.099824 0.114463 0.131800 0.151779 0.174087 0.200897
2026-02-08 0.065553 0.083478 0.105261 0.133691 0.169851 0.214352 0.273363
2026-02-15 0.053577 0.073150 0.098622 0.134225 0.182770 0.246759 0.337724
2026-02-22 0.045912 0.066334 0.094433 0.135958 0.195874 0.279394 0.405048
2026-03-01 0.038937 0.059073 0.088141 0.133214 0.201511 0.301426 0.459303
2026-03-08 0.033673 0.053363 0.083034 0.131063 0.207093 0.323229 0.514978
2026-03-15 0.030226 0.049846 0.080592 0.132356 0.217640 0.353159 0.586085
2026-03-22 0.028355 0.048519 0.081285 0.138499 0.236328 0.397587 0.685298
2026-03-29 0.026327 0.046630 0.080759 0.142420 0.251572 0.437772 0.781792
2026-04-05 0.024441 0.044719 0.079911 0.145568 0.265657 0.477244 0.881270
2026-04-12 0.022523 0.042496 0.078224 0.146941 0.276584 0.512109 0.976132
2026-04-19 0.020342 0.039518 0.074821 0.144714 0.280520 0.534538 1.050113
2026-04-26 0.018038 0.036076 0.070247 0.139874 0.279191 0.547446 1.108300
2026-05-03 0.016835 0.034642 0.069331 0.142037 0.291756 0.588350 1.226738
2026-05-10 0.015588 0.032963 0.067733 0.142609 0.301111 0.623797 1.338022
2026-05-17 0.014603 0.031705 0.066822 0.144450 0.313210 0.665947 1.468024
2026-05-24 0.013274 0.029556 0.063834 0.141534 0.314832 0.686350 1.553345
2026-05-31 0.012143 0.027709 0.061278 0.139248 0.317518 0.709201 1.646561
2026-06-07 0.011423 0.026697 0.060418 0.140622 0.328494 0.751283 1.788252
2026-06-14 0.011152 0.026680 0.061757 0.147151 0.351977 0.823862 2.009449
2026-06-21 0.010721 0.026236 0.062076 0.151319 0.370360 0.886627 2.214425
2026-06-28 0.010262 0.025673 0.062056 0.154664 0.387121 0.947312 2.421318
2026-07-05 0.009718 0.024840 0.061303 0.156123 0.399393 0.998461 2.610196